Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Palermo - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Filippo Moroni		Ignacio Parisca

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.85
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.86	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.02)	1.84 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filippo Moroni
49.9%

Ignacio Parisca
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filippo Moroni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Ignacio Parisca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filippo Moroni than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Parisca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Filippo Moroni - Ignacio Parisca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moroni will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Parisca will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moroni is ranked ATP: 864., and Parisca is ranked ATP: 659..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Parisca could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filippo Moroni
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Alex Marti Pujolras - Filippo Moroni	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Filippo Moroni - Fabrizio Andaloro	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Gianmarco Ferrari - Filippo Moroni	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.09.26	Menelaos Efstathiou - Filippo Moroni	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Filippo Mazzola - Filippo Moroni	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWLW
- Ignacio Parisca
ATP Challenger
04.10.26	Ignacio Parisca - Gabriel Ghetu	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Franco Agamenone - Ignacio Parisca	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.26	Ivan Gakhov - Ignacio Parisca	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Ignacio Parisca - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Ignacio Parisca - Cian Maguire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWW

Filippo Moroni - Ignacio Parisca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide