Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 4, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday


	Filippo Moroni		Luca Potenza

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.63	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)	2.03 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filippo Moroni
53.9%

Luca Potenza
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filippo Moroni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Luca Potenza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filippo Moroni than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Filippo Moroni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Potenza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Moroni is ranked ATP: 696. Potenza is ranked ATP: 593.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filippo Moroni
ITF Tournaments
24.06.25	Pavlo Tsitsipas - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Filippo Moroni - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Filippo Moroni	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Filippo Moroni - Alexis Gautier	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Raphael Perot - Filippo Moroni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Luca Potenza
ITF Tournaments
24.06.25	Luca Potenza - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Fabrizio Andaloro - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
20.06.25	Luca Potenza - Aziz Ouakaa	2:1 ✺
19.06.25	Kris van Wyk - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Luca Potenza - Leonardo Rossi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW

Filippo Moroni - Luca Potenza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide