Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Filippo Romano		Massimo Giunta

	1	2
			Watch
	1.80	1.91
	1.78	1.98	Watch
	1.81	2.04
	1.82	1.87
	1.77	2.00
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.04)	1.95 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filippo Romano
52.3%

Massimo Giunta
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filippo Romano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Filippo Romano's performance.

Massimo Giunta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Massimo Giunta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filippo Romano than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Massimo Giunta than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Filippo Romano - Massimo Giunta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Romano is ranked ATP: 303. Giunta is ranked ATP: 422.

Romano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Giunta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Romano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Massimo Giunta - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.8%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filippo Romano
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Filippo Romano - Dominik Recek	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Filippo Romano - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
15.07.26	Filippo Romano - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Filippo Romano	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Filippo Romano - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL
- Massimo Giunta
ITF Tournaments
07.08.26	Marcello Serafini - Massimo Giunta	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Massimo Giunta	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Pietro Romeo Scomparin - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Timeo Trufelli - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Alejandro Moro Canas - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL

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