Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bunschoten, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 July 2026, Monday


	Gilles Arnaud Bailly		Filippo Romano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.50	2.40
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.53	2.57
	1.7	2.02	Watch
	1.67	1.99	Watch
	1.75	1.92	Watch
	1.69	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	2.13 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly
56.4%

Filippo Romano
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Filippo Romano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gilles Arnaud Bailly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Filippo Romano than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Filippo Romano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Filippo Romano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bailly is ranked ATP: 210. Romano is ranked ATP: 312.

Bailly has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Romano has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Romano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gilles Arnaud Bailly
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Miguel Damas - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Andres Santamarta Roig - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Henri Squire - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Cosme Rolland de Ravel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLL
- Filippo Romano
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Filippo Romano - Max Basing	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Filippo Romano - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
20.06.26	Filippo Romano - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Jacob Fearnley - Filippo Romano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Filippo Romano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide