Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Finn Murgett		Ivan Ivanov

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.85	1.43
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.71	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 (2.75)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finn Murgett
33.7%

Ivan Ivanov
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finn Murgett has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ivan Ivanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Murgett than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Ivanov than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Finn Murgett - Ivan Ivanov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Murgett is ranked ATP: 900. Ivanov is ranked ATP: 785.

Murgett is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ivanov is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Murgett may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ivanov is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Ivanov will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Murgett
ITF Tournaments
05.02.26	Finn Murgett - Henry Searle	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	James Beaven - Finn Murgett	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Finn Murgett - Alec Deckers	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Finn Murgett - Adrien Gobat	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Cannon Kingsley - Finn Murgett	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Ivan Ivanov
ITF Tournaments
25.01.26	Yaroslav Demin - Ivan Ivanov	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Jack Loge - Ivan Ivanov	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Ivan Ivanov - Max Basing	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Ivan Ivanov - Amir Omarkhanov	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Ivan Ivanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWWW

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