Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Setubal, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Finn Murgett		Michael Agwi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.44
	2.70	1.40
	2.56	1.43	Watch
	2.65	1.46
	2.63	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.7)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finn Murgett
35.3%

Michael Agwi
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finn Murgett has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Michael Agwi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Murgett than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Agwi than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Finn Murgett - Michael Agwi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Murgett is ranked ATP: 980., and Agwi is ranked ATP: 803..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Agwi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Agwi holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Finn Murgett - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.99%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Murgett
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Finn Murgett	1:2 ✺
23.09.26	Finn Murgett - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Finn Murgett - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Finn Murgett - Gian Luca Tanner	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Goncalo Marques - Finn Murgett	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL
- Michael Agwi
ITF Tournaments
24.09.26	Michael Agwi - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Adria Soriano Barrera - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Giorgio Tabacco - Michael Agwi	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Joao Dinis Silva - Michael Agwi	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Linus Lagerbohm - Michael Agwi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

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