Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Les Sables d'Olonne, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Fiona Ferro		Andrea Lazaro Garcia

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.18	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.34	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.48)	3.1 ↑ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiona Ferro
69.9%

Andrea Lazaro Garcia
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiona Ferro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiona Ferro's performance.

Andrea Lazaro Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Lazaro Garcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiona Ferro than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiona Ferro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Lazaro Garcia than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Lazaro Garcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fiona Ferro - Andrea Lazaro Garcia Predictions

Users Predictions: Fiona Ferro will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fiona Ferro will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ferro is ranked WTA: 240. Lazaro Garcia is ranked WTA: 206.

In recent matches, Ferro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lazaro Garcia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ferro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ferro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiona Ferro
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Sofia Costoulas - Fiona Ferro	0:2 ✺
19.02.26	Kristina Mladenovic - Fiona Ferro	Mladenovic K. retired ✺
18.02.26	Fiona Ferro - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
WTA Ostrava
04.02.26	Fiona Ferro - Nikola Bartunkova	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Brenda Fruhvirtova - Fiona Ferro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 W?WLW
- Andrea Lazaro Garcia
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Diana Martynov	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Manon Leonard	2:1 ✺
17.02.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.02.26	Mia Pohankova - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	Lazaro Garcia A. retired ✺
03.02.26	Mika Stojsavljevic - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.04.22	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Fiona Ferro	0:2

Fiona Ferro - Andrea Lazaro Garcia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide