Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Les Sables d'Olonne, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Fiona Ferro		Lucrezia Stefanini

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.75	2
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.34
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.84)	2.24 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiona Ferro
58.4%

Lucrezia Stefanini
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiona Ferro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiona Ferro's performance.

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lucrezia Stefanini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiona Ferro than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiona Ferro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucrezia Stefanini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fiona Ferro - Lucrezia Stefanini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ferro is ranked WTA: 241. Stefanini is ranked WTA: 138.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Stefanini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucrezia Stefanini - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiona Ferro
WTA Ostrava
04.02.26	Fiona Ferro - Nikola Bartunkova	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Brenda Fruhvirtova - Fiona Ferro	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Fiona Ferro - Laura Pigossi	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Dominika Salkova - Fiona Ferro	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.01.26	Fiona Ferro - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL
- Lucrezia Stefanini
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Viktorija Golubic - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Angelina Voloshchuk - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
WTA Cluj Napoca
03.02.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Tamara Zidansek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.09.23	Lucrezia Stefanini - Fiona Ferro	0:2

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