Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ANTALYA (TURKEY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 8 March 2023, Wednesday


	Flavio Cobolli		Gianluca Mager

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2	1.77
	2.09	1.76
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.99	1.75	Watch
	1.93	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.89)	1.77 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
47.4%

Gianluca Mager
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Gianluca Mager has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	0%	30.8%

Flavio Cobolli - Gianluca Mager Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cobolli will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Mager will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobolli: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cobolli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Flavio Cobolli - Mirza Basic	2:1 ✺
25.01.23	Lucas Pouille - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
19.01.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
17.01.23	Nikola Milojevic - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
09.01.23	Mitchell Krueger - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL
- Gianluca Mager
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Gerald Melzer - Gianluca Mager	Canceled ✺
07.03.23	Lukas Neumayer - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
08.02.23	Gianluca Mager - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
07.02.23	Gian Marco Moroni - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
07.02.23	Cedrik-Marcel Stebe - Gianluca Mager	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?WLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.09.22	Flavio Cobolli - Gianluca Mager	1:2

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