Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 10 (Italy), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 10 (Italy) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Gianluca Mager		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
	1.56	2.23
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.24	Watch
	1.56	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 (1.57)	2.24 (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gianluca Mager
58.8%

Francesco Maestrelli
41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gianluca Mager have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Francesco Maestrelli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gianluca Mager than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Gianluca Mager - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mager is ranked ATP: 254. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 319.

Mager is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Maestrelli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maestrelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mager will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mager won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Gianluca Mager - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.79%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gianluca Mager
ITF Tournaments
11.10.24	Gianluca Mager - Sebastian Fanselow	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Gianluca Mager - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
08.10.24	Gianluca Mager - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Gianluca Mager	Mager G. retired ✺
27.09.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Gianluca Mager	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWW?W
- Francesco Maestrelli
ITF Tournaments
11.10.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Alessandro Spadola	2:0 ✺
07.10.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Oleksii Krutykh - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.09.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.08.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Gianluca Mager	Canceled
08.02.23	Gianluca Mager - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Moise Kouame - Francesco Maestrelli	✺

Gianluca Mager - Francesco Maestrelli