Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SZCZECIN (POLAND), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 September 2023, Thursday


	Flavio Cobolli		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.58	2.43
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.37	2.91	Watch
	1.52	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	2.46 ↑ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
61.8%

Lukas Neumayer
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Flavio Cobolli - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: Flavio Cobolli will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cobolli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Neumayer is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cobolli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cobolli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Petr Nouza - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Sumit Nagal - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
08.09.23	Flavio Cobolli - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Flavio Cobolli - Henri Laaksonen	Laaksonen H. retired ✺
04.09.23	Flavio Cobolli - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLW?W
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Lukas Neumayer - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
05.09.23	Lukas Neumayer - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
31.08.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
22.08.23	Lukas Neumayer - Gabriel Debru	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWL

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