Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PRAGUE 3 (CZECH REPUBLIC), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 22 August 2023, Tuesday


	Lukas Neumayer		Gabriel Debru

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65
	1.94	1.82
	2.23	1.68
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.98	1.76	Watch
	2.11	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.72)	1.71 ↓ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
45.1%

Gabriel Debru
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lukas Neumayer's form might have worsened.

Gabriel Debru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriel Debru's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Debru than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriel Debru, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Lukas Neumayer - Gabriel Debru Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Debru will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Debru: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Neumayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
13.08.23	Lukas Neumayer - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
12.08.23	Lukas Neumayer - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
11.08.23	Matteo Martineau - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
09.08.23	Lukas Neumayer - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
07.08.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWW
- Gabriel Debru
ATP Challenger
21.08.23	Gabriel Debru - Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Gabriel Debru - Aleksandre Metreveli	2:0 ✺
17.08.23	Francesco Maestrelli - Gabriel Debru	2:0 ✺
16.08.23	Gabriel Debru - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
14.08.23	Gabriel Debru - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW

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