Match Info

Date: 27 April 2021, Tuesday


	Flavio Cobolli		Steven Diez

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3	1.34
	3.25	1.32
	2.9	1.34
	3.08	1.38
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.04	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.51)	1.35 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
30.5%

Steven Diez
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flavio Cobolli's form might have worsened.

Steven Diez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Steven Diez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flavio Cobolli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Steven Diez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Flavio Cobolli - Steven Diez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cobolli is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Diez is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cobolli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Diez is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Challenger
22.04.21	Andrea Pellegrino - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
20.04.21	Flavio Cobolli - Aleksandar Vukic	Vukic A. retired ✺
20.04.21	Flavio Cobolli - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
19.04.21	Tobias Kamke - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.04.21	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 L?WWW
- Steven Diez
ATP Challenger
20.04.21	Steven Diez - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
13.04.21	Steven Diez - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
ATP Marbella
05.04.21	Steven Diez - Nikola Milojevic	0:2 ✺
04.04.21	Peter Gojowczyk - Steven Diez	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
08.03.21	Constant Lestienne - Steven Diez	Diez S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLW?

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