Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TRIESTE (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 July 2023, Monday


	Andrea Pellegrino		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
			Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.3	1.32
	3.18	1.37
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.16	1.32	Watch
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.85)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
29.7%

Flavio Cobolli
70.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Flavio Cobolli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Andrea Pellegrino - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: Flavio Cobolli will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pellegrino is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cobolli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pellegrino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cobolli is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pellegrino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
15.06.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
14.06.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLLW
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Challenger
14.07.23	Richard Gasquet - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
12.07.23	Flavio Cobolli - Hernan Casanova	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Gianmarco Ferrari - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
08.07.23	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
07.07.23	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.07.22	Flavio Cobolli - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1
30.04.21	Flavio Cobolli - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0
22.04.21	Andrea Pellegrino - Flavio Cobolli	2:0

Andrea Pellegrino - Flavio Cobolli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide