Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Florent Bax		Adrien Gobat

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.5
	1.52	2.24	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.45	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	2.45 ↓ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florent Bax
62.4%

Adrien Gobat
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florent Bax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Adrien Gobat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrien Gobat than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Florent Bax - Adrien Gobat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bax is ranked ATP: 303. Gobat is ranked ATP: 756.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gobat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bax could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florent Bax
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Florent Bax - Leo Lagarrigue	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Florent Bax - Adrien Burdet	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Florent Bax - Maxime Chazal	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Florent Bax - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Florent Bax - Jonas Schaer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW
- Adrien Gobat
ATP Challenger
08.09.25	Maxime Janvier - Adrien Gobat	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Adrien Gobat - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.08.25	Adrien Gobat - Marcel Zielinski	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Adrien Gobat - Kevin Edengren	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Adrien Gobat - Romain Faucon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.09.24	Florent Bax - Adrien Gobat	2:0
29.06.22	Adrien Gobat - Florent Bax	2:1

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