Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KIGALI 2 (RWANDA) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday


	Florent Bax		Seita Watanabe

	1	2
			Watch
	1.25	3.4	Watch
	1.2	4
	1.22	4.13
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.25	3.76	Watch
	1.24	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.48)	3.82 ↑ (2.5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florent Bax
75.6%

Seita Watanabe
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florent Bax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Florent Bax's performance.

Seita Watanabe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seita Watanabe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Florent Bax that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seita Watanabe than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seita Watanabe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Florent Bax - Seita Watanabe Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bax will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Watanabe will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Watanabe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bax is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
03.03.24	Florent Bax - Courtney John Lock	Lock C. retired ✺
18.02.24	Tristan Lamasine - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
12.02.24	Florent Bax - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Remy Bertola - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.02.24	Clement Chidekh - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 ?LLWL
- Seita Watanabe
ATP Challenger
03.03.24	Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta - Seita Watanabe	0:2 ✺
26.02.24	Seita Watanabe - Ivan Denisov	1:2 ✺
25.02.24	Seita Watanabe - Ren Nakamura	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Yuki Mochizuki - Seita Watanabe	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Seita Watanabe - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW

Florent Bax - Seita Watanabe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide