Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday


	Francesca Curmi		Francisca Jorge

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.60
	1.44	2.58
	1.44	2.83
	1.37	2.37	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.73)	2.64 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
65.1%

Francisca Jorge
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesca Curmi's performance.

Francisca Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisca Jorge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesca Curmi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisca Jorge than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisca Jorge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesca Curmi - Francisca Jorge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 251. Jorge is ranked WTA: 232.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Jorge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Curmi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Curmi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Francesca Curmi - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.62%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
23.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Martina Trevisan	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Katerina Tsygourova	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Pia Lovric	2:0 ✺
18.07.26	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Xinxin Yao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW
- Francisca Jorge
ITF Tournaments
11.07.26	Carol Young Suh Lee - Francisca Jorge	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Angelina Voloshchuk - Francisca Jorge	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Kira Pavlova - Francisca Jorge	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Hiromi Abe - Francisca Jorge	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Francisca Jorge - Elena Micic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group II
11.04.23	Francisca Jorge - Francesca Curmi	0:2
ITF Tournaments
28.09.22	Francesca Curmi - Francisca Jorge	2:1
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group III
07.07.22	Francesca Curmi - Francisca Jorge	0:2

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