Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Cordenons, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Francesca Curmi		Pia Lovric

	1	2
			Watch
	1.14	4.60
	1.15	4.70
	1.17	5.28
	1.15	4.68	Watch
	1.15	5.20
	1.14	4.80	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.35)	4.88 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
80.9%

Pia Lovric
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesca Curmi's performance.

Pia Lovric has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pia Lovric might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesca Curmi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pia Lovric than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pia Lovric could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesca Curmi - Pia Lovric Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 235. Lovric is ranked WTA: 572.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Curmi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Curmi is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
18.07.26	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Xinxin Yao	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Fernanda Labrana	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Jeline Vandromme	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWL
- Pia Lovric
ITF Tournaments
16.07.26	Gabriela Ce - Pia Lovric	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Pia Lovric - Sofia Rocchetti	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Pia Lovric - Julie Struplova	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Pia Lovric - Alesia Breaz	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Francesca Pace - Pia Lovric	Pace F. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLW?

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