Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Darmstadt, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Francesca Curmi		Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.76	1.95
	1.68	2.21
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.45	2.65
	1.68	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.75)	2.17 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
56.8%

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesca Curmi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesca Curmi - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 249. Steur is ranked WTA: 360.

Curmi is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Steur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Curmi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
14.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Fernanda Labrana	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Jeline Vandromme	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Rebeka Masarova - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Francesca Curmi - Oceane Dodin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.06.26	Francesca Curmi - Alevtina Ibragimova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWW
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
ITF Tournaments
15.07.26	Annemarie Lazar - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Alena Kovackova	1:2 ✺
09.07.26	Zhibek Kulambayeva - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Isis Louise Van den Broek	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Barbora Palicova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL

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