Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 The Hague, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur		Alena Kovackova

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.80
	2.02	1.70	Watch
	2.19	1.68
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	2.25	1.60
	1.94	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.98)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
46.1%

Alena Kovackova
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Alena Kovackova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alena Kovackova than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Alena Kovackova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Steur is ranked WTA: 357. Kovackova is ranked WTA: 476.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Kovackova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Steur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Zhibek Kulambayeva - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Isis Louise Van den Broek	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Barbora Palicova	0:2 ✺
24.06.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Lia Karatancheva	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Julie Pastikova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW
- Alena Kovackova
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Alena Kovackova - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Alena Kovackova - Antonia Stoyanov	2:0 ✺
03.07.26	Weronika Falkowska - Alena Kovackova	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Eva Marie Voracek - Alena Kovackova	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Alena Kovackova - Carolina Alves	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.06.26	Alena Kovackova - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2
02.04.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Alena Kovackova	0:2

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