Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: ANGERS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 December 2023, Wednesday


	Francesca Curmi		McCartney Kessler

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.45	1.5	Watch
	2.54	1.53
	2.57	1.53
	2.38	1.53
	2.53	1.51	Watch
	2.65	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.19)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
37.5%

McCartney Kessler
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

McCartney Kessler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesca Curmi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for McCartney Kessler than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for McCartney Kessler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Francesca Curmi - McCartney Kessler Predictions

Users Predictions: McCartney Kessler will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Kessler could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kessler will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ATP Challenger
04.12.23	Patricia Maria Tig - Francesca Curmi	Tig P. M. retired ✺
03.12.23	Alana Smith - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.12.23	Francesca Curmi - Kristina Mladenovic	0:2 ✺
30.11.23	Tena Lukas - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
29.11.23	Francesca Curmi - Kira Pavlova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 ?WLWW
- McCartney Kessler
ATP Challenger
04.12.23	McCartney Kessler - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.11.23	McCartney Kessler - Panna Udvardy	0:2 ✺
08.11.23	Nigina Abduraimova - McCartney Kessler	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.11.23	McCartney Kessler - Emina Bektas	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.10.23	Ayana Akli - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL

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