Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	21:40	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:40	HBO Max
Bulgaria	22:40	HBO Max
Croatia	21:40	HBO Max
Czech Republic	21:40	HBO Max
Denmark	21:40	HBO Max
Finland	22:40	HBO Max
France	21:40	HBO Max
Hungary	21:40	HBO Max
Moldova	22:40	HBO Max
Montenegro	21:40	HBO Max
Netherlands	21:40	HBO Max
North Macedonia	21:40	HBO Max
Norway	21:40	HBO Max
Poland	21:40	HBO Max
Romania	22:40	HBO Max
Serbia	21:40	HBO Max
Slovenia	21:40	HBO Max
Spain	21:40	HBO Max
Sweden	21:40	HBO Max


	Francesca Jones		Eva Lys

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.14	1.68	Watch
	2.29	1.68
	2.26	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.26	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.2)	1.68 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Jones
43.2%

Eva Lys
56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Francesca Jones have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Eva Lys have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Jones than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eva Lys than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Francesca Jones - Eva Lys Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Jones will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Lys will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lys: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jones is ranked WTA: 86. Lys is ranked WTA: 60.

In recent matches, both players have secured multiple victories.

Lys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Lys will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Eva Lys - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.84%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Jones
WTA US Open
22.08.25	Francesca Jones - Arianne Hartono	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Francesca Jones - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Francesca Jones - Viktoria Hruncakova	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.07.25	Francesca Jones - Anouk Koevermans	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Tatiana Prozorova - Francesca Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW
- Eva Lys
WTA Cleveland
21.08.25	Eva Lys - Anastasia Zakharova	Zakharova A. walkover ✺
19.08.25	Eva Lys - Polina Kudermetova	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Maya Joint - Eva Lys	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Eva Lys - Madison Keys	2:1 ✺
07.08.25	Bernarda Pera - Eva Lys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 ?WWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Jones
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Francesca Jones - Marjorie Souza	✺

Francesca Jones - Eva Lys