Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Miami 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Francesca Jones		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	17	1.02	Watch
	12	1.02
	11	1.03
	18.42	1.04
	12.47	1.02	Watch
	12	1.03
	14.1	1.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.86 ↑ (7.27)	1.03 ↓ (1.07)

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Jones
6.9%

Jessica Pegula
93.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.8%

87.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesca Jones's form might have worsened.

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Pegula's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Francesca Jones - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jones will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Pegula will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pegula (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6.5 Games - Pegula (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pegula (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jones is ranked WTA: 93. Pegula is ranked WTA: 5.

Pegula is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pegula is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Jones
WTA Miami
19.03.26	Francesca Jones - Venus Williams	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
05.03.26	Francesca Jones - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
WTA Austin
24.02.26	Francesca Jones - Peyton Stearns	1:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
18.01.26	Linda Klimovicova - Francesca Jones	Jones F. retired ✺
WTA Auckland
08.01.26	Xin Yu Wang - Francesca Jones	Jones F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLL??
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.26	Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Jessica Pegula - Belinda Bencic	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Jessica Pegula - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Jessica Pegula - Donna Vekic	2:1 ✺
WTA Austin
24.02.26	Jessica Pegula - Rebecca Sramkova	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWW?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Jones
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Francesca Jones - Marjorie Souza	✺

Francesca Jones - Jessica Pegula