The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Francesca Jones 42.5%
Kayla Day 57.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
50%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.4%
46.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francesca Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesca Jones's form might have worsened.
Kayla Day has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kayla Day's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Jones than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesca Jones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayla Day than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kayla Day, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.4%
0%
69.6%
Francesca Jones - Kayla Day Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Jones will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Day will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Day: 50.8% – 88.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kayla Day will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Jones is ranked WTA: 93.Day is ranked WTA: 187.
Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
Jones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.