Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Francesca Jones		Laura Siegemund

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.95
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.55	2.5
	1.56	2.37	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.27)	2.25 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Jones
58.2%

Laura Siegemund
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesca Jones's performance.

Laura Siegemund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Laura Siegemund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Jones than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesca Jones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Siegemund than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laura Siegemund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Francesca Jones - Laura Siegemund Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Jones will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Siegemund will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Siegemund: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Laura Siegemund will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Jones is ranked WTA: 134. Siegemund is ranked WTA: 95.

Recent matches Jones is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Siegemund is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Siegemund could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jones won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Jones
ATP Challenger
17.04.25	Francesca Jones - Nina Stojanovic	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Noma Akugue Noha - Francesca Jones	1:2 ✺
15.04.25	Sorana Cirstea - Francesca Jones	Canceled ✺
WTA Bogota
01.04.25	Julia Riera - Francesca Jones	Jones F. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.03.25	Leolia Jeanjean - Francesca Jones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LW??W
- Laura Siegemund
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.25	Jule Niemeier - Laura Siegemund	2:1 ✺
WTA Bogota
01.04.25	Laura Pigossi - Laura Siegemund	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.25	Laura Siegemund - Linda Fruhvirtova	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Laura Siegemund - Ana Konjuh	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
02.03.25	Laura Siegemund - Kaja Juvan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Bogota
04.04.24	Francesca Jones - Laura Siegemund	1:2

Francesca Jones - Laura Siegemund: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide