Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Contrexeville, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday


	Francesca Jones		Rebeka Masarova

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.06	1.79
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.03	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)	1.73 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Jones
45.8%

Rebeka Masarova
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Rebeka Masarova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Jones than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesca Jones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebeka Masarova than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rebeka Masarova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Francesca Jones - Rebeka Masarova Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Jones will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Masarova will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jones is ranked WTA: 122. Masarova is ranked WTA: 100.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Masarova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jones won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Francesca Jones - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Rebeka Masarova - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Jones
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Francesca Jones - Carole Monnet	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Francesca Jones - Tessah Andrianjafitrimo	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
01.07.25	Yulia Starodubtseva - Francesca Jones	2:1 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
25.06.25	Dayana Yastremska - Francesca Jones	2:0 ✺
23.06.25	Francesca Jones - Greetje Minnen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLW
- Rebeka Masarova
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Laura Pigossi - Rebeka Masarova	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Angela Fita Boluda - Rebeka Masarova	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
25.06.25	Rebeka Masarova - Nina Stojanovic	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Rebeka Masarova - Alina Korneeva	2:0 ✺
WTA Berlin
19.06.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Rebeka Masarova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
20.08.24	Rebeka Masarova - Francesca Jones	1:2
ITF Tournaments
14.05.24	Francesca Jones - Rebeka Masarova	Jones F. retired
ATP Challenger
16.04.24	Francesca Jones - Rebeka Masarova	2:1

Francesca Jones - Rebeka Masarova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide