Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Prijedor, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Francesco Ferrari		Sebastian Sorger

	1	2
	3.8	1.21
	4.05	1.21
	3.99	1.22
	3.75	1.25
	3.91	1.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (2.63)	1.22 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Ferrari
23.9%

Sebastian Sorger
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Ferrari's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Sorger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Ferrari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Sorger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Francesco Ferrari - Sebastian Sorger Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5 Games - Sorger (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sorger (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Ferrari is ranked ATP: 947. Sorger is ranked ATP: 650.

Ferrari is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sorger's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sorger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sorger might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Ferrari
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Alexey Vatutin - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.04.25	Alafia Ayeni - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Max Houkes - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Francesco Ferrari - Matteo Mesaglio	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Maxence Bertimon - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Sebastian Sorger
ATP Challenger
28.04.25	Mika Brunold - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Sebastian Sorger - Daniel Masur	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Sebastian Sorger - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Sebastian Sorger - Attila Boros	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Sandro Kopp - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWL

Francesco Ferrari - Sebastian Sorger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide