Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Antalya 12, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Antalya 12 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Sebastian Sorger		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
	1.98	1.72
	2.08	1.7	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.01	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.36)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Sorger
45.9%

Marvin Moeller
54.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Sorger's performance.

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marvin Moeller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Sorger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marvin Moeller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Sorger is ranked ATP: 667. Moeller is ranked ATP: 487.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sorger could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Moeller will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Sorger
ITF Tournaments
22.04.25	Sebastian Sorger - Attila Boros	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Sandro Kopp - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
27.03.25	Sebastian Sorger - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Sebastian Sorger - Marko Maksimovic	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Jacopo Vasami - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL
- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
22.04.25	Konstantine Gogeliya - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Marvin Moeller - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Marvin Moeller - Kaya Arinc	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Marvin Moeller - David Prasievi	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Marvin Moeller - Clement Chidekh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWWL

Sebastian Sorger - Marvin Moeller

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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