Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Telavi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Telavi 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Francesco Ferrari		Timofei Derepasko

	1	2
	2.22	1.56	Watch
	2.63	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.24)	1.51 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Ferrari
38.3%

Timofei Derepasko
61.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Timofei Derepasko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Ferrari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofei Derepasko than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Timofei Derepasko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Francesco Ferrari - Timofei Derepasko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Derepasko (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Ferrari is ranked ATP: 1112., and Derepasko is ranked ATP: 649..

Ferrari has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Derepasko has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ferrari could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Derepasko is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Ferrari
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Francesco Ferrari - Gianmarco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.08.26	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Francesco Ferrari - Vlad Cristian Breazu	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Gabriele Bosio - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Timofei Derepasko
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Ilia Simakin	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Taisei Ichikawa	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Stefan Storch	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Cruz Hewitt - Timofei Derepasko	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Sam Ryan Ziegann	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Francesco Ferrari - Timofei Derepasko

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Francesco Ferrari - Timofei Derepasko Predictions

Preview

Form

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