Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 4 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday


	Timofei Derepasko		Taisei Ichikawa

	1	2
	1.91	1.75
	1.84	1.86
	2.01	1.88
	1.89	1.81	Watch
	1.99	1.76
	1.84	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.57)	1.82 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofei Derepasko
48.7%

Taisei Ichikawa
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofei Derepasko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Timofei Derepasko's form might have worsened.

Taisei Ichikawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taisei Ichikawa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofei Derepasko than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Timofei Derepasko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taisei Ichikawa than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taisei Ichikawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Timofei Derepasko - Taisei Ichikawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Derepasko will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ichikawa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Derepasko is ranked ATP: 680. Ichikawa is ranked ATP: 768.

Derepasko is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ichikawa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Derepasko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Taisei Ichikawa - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.4%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofei Derepasko
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Stefan Storch	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Cruz Hewitt - Timofei Derepasko	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Sam Ryan Ziegann	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Minhthien Nguyen	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW
- Taisei Ichikawa
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Nikita Ianin - Taisei Ichikawa	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Benjamin O`Connell - Taisei Ichikawa	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Noritaka Koizumi - Taisei Ichikawa	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.09.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Jerry Roddick	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

Timofei Derepasko - Taisei Ichikawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide