Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Francesco Forti		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
			Watch
	1.66	2.09
	1.72	2.16
	1.64	2.12	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.82)	2.11 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Forti
55.9%

Andrey Chepelev
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Forti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Forti's performance.

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrey Chepelev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Forti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrey Chepelev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Francesco Forti - Andrey Chepelev Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Forti will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Forti is ranked ATP: 600. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 415.

Forti is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chepelev has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Forti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Forti
ITF Tournaments
22.03.26	Hynek Barton - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Francesco Forti - Peter Buldorini	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Giannicola Misasi - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Alessandro Mondazzi - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
17.03.26	Peter Buldorini - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Gabriele Maria Noce - Andrey Chepelev	Canceled ✺
04.03.26	Edoardo Zanada - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Andrey Chepelev - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 L?WWW

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