Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cervia - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Francesco Forti		Massimo Giunta

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.49	2.45
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.78)	2.34 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Forti
60.5%

Massimo Giunta
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Forti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Forti's performance.

Massimo Giunta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Massimo Giunta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Forti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Massimo Giunta than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Massimo Giunta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesco Forti - Massimo Giunta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Forti is ranked ATP: 414. Giunta is ranked ATP: 519.

Forti is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Giunta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Giunta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Forti will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Forti
ITF Tournaments
25.04.26	Francesco Forti - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Francesco Forti - Manuel Mazza	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Sergio Planella Hernandez - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Lorenzo Lorusso - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Massimo Giunta
ITF Tournaments
16.05.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Massimo Giunta - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Fabrizio Andaloro - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Massimo Giunta - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Gauthier Onclin - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWL

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