Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Reggio Emilia, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Massimo Giunta		Tommaso Compagnucci

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.05	1.79
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2	1.7
	1.98	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.16)	1.73 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Massimo Giunta
46.4%

Tommaso Compagnucci
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Massimo Giunta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Tommaso Compagnucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Massimo Giunta than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Massimo Giunta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tommaso Compagnucci than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tommaso Compagnucci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Massimo Giunta - Tommaso Compagnucci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giunta is ranked ATP: 519. Compagnucci is ranked ATP: 393.

Giunta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Compagnucci has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Massimo Giunta
ITF Tournaments
14.05.26	Fabrizio Andaloro - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Massimo Giunta - Kirill Kivattsev	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Gauthier Onclin - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
28.04.26	Massimo Giunta - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Massimo Giunta - Oskar Brostrom Poulsen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW
- Tommaso Compagnucci
ITF Tournaments
14.05.26	Alessandro Pecci - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Giovanni Oradini - Tommaso Compagnucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Pol Martin Tiffon	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.04.26	Giovanni Oradini - Tommaso Compagnucci	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Matteo Mura - Tommaso Compagnucci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW

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