Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 4, clay - Final

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Francesco Forti		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2
	1.9	1.92
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.7	2
	1.77	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.55)	1.96 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Forti
52.7%

Federico Arnaboldi
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Forti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Forti's form might have worsened.

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Arnaboldi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Francesco Forti - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Forti is ranked ATP: 496. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 441.

Now, both players are in good form.

Arnaboldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Forti
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Francesco Forti - Manuel Mazza	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Sergio Planella Hernandez - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Lorenzo Lorusso - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Francesco Forti - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL
- Federico Arnaboldi
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Noah Lopez	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Kasra Rahmani	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Alex Lapsansky	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL

Francesco Forti - Federico Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide