Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 4, clay - Final

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 4 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Francesco Forti		Federico Arnaboldi

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Francesco Forti
52.7%

Federico Arnaboldi
47.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Forti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Forti's form might have worsened.

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Arnaboldi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Forti is ranked ATP: 496. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 441.

Now, both players are in good form.

Arnaboldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Forti
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Francesco Forti - Manuel Mazza	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Lorenzo Angelini - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Sergio Planella Hernandez - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Lorenzo Lorusso - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Francesco Forti - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL
- Federico Arnaboldi
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Noah Lopez	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Kasra Rahmani	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Alex Lapsansky	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Federico Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL

Francesco Forti - Federico Arnaboldi