Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cattolica - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 8 June 2026, Monday


	Francesco Forti		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.20
	1.60	2.20
	1.57	2.41
	1.55	2.30	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.87)	2.27 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Forti
59.1%

Samuele Pieri
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Forti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Forti's performance.

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samuele Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Francesco Forti - Samuele Pieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Forti will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Pieri will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Forti is ranked ATP: 413. Pieri is ranked ATP: 472.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Pieri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Forti - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Samuele Pieri - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Forti
ATP Challenger
07.06.26	Francesco Forti - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Pierluigi Basile - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Francesco Forti - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
02.06.26	Francesco Forti - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WL?WW
- Samuele Pieri
ATP Challenger
07.06.26	Giovanni Oradini - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
26.05.26	Samuele Pieri - Jerome Kym	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Petr Nesterov - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Alessandro Battiston - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWW

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