Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday


	Petr Nesterov		Samuele Pieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.82	1.88
	1.85	1.98
	1.79	1.92	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.8	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
51.4%

Samuele Pieri
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Petr Nesterov - Samuele Pieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 386. Pieri is ranked ATP: 471.

Nesterov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pieri is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nesterov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nesterov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Petr Nesterov - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Samuele Pieri - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ATP Challenger
24.05.26	Petr Nesterov - Daniel Bagnolini	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Petr Nesterov - Manas Manoj Dhamne	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Petr Nesterov - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Petr Nesterov - Pierluigi Basile	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW
- Samuele Pieri
ATP Challenger
24.05.26	Alessandro Battiston - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.05.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
22.05.26	Oleksii Krutykh - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Nico Hipfl - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.12.23	Samuele Pieri - Petr Nesterov	2:1

Petr Nesterov - Samuele Pieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide