Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 June 2026, Tuesday


	Francesco Forti		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.24	3.6	Watch
	1.27	3.96
	1.25	3.58	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.24	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)	3.76 ↑ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Forti
75.1%

Jelle Sels
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Forti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Forti's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Forti that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesco Forti - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Forti is ranked ATP: 413. Sels is ranked ATP: 450.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Forti is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Forti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Forti
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Matthew Donald - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Francesco Forti	2:0 ✺
19.05.26	Stefan Dostanic - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Francesco Forti - Lorenzo Carboni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Edoardo Betti - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Federico Iannaccone - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.07.19	Francesco Forti - Jelle Sels	2:0

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