Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Verona (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Referee: Solarino G. (Ita)


	Francesco Maestrelli		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.67	2.07	Watch
	1.78	2.06
	1.73	2.04	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.09	Watch
	1.67	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)	2.07 ↓ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
55%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Maestrelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvaro Guillen Meza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Francesco Maestrelli - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Maestrelli will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 12 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guillen Meza: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Maestrelli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
23.07.24	Pedro Cachin - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
17.07.24	Guy Den Ouden - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
12.07.24	Henrique Rocha - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
11.07.24	Dusan Obradovic - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
10.07.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Pellegrino	Pellegrino A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLW?
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
23.07.24	Kyrian Jacquet - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
18.07.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
16.07.24	Franco Agamenone - Alvaro Guillen Meza	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.07.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWL

Francesco Maestrelli - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide