Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Dobrich 2 (Bulgaria), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2024, Monday

Referee: Yovchev I. (Bul)


	Francesco Maestrelli		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.43	2.6	Watch
	1.43	2.88
	1.41	2.79	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.44	2.69	Watch
	1.43	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.67)	2.67 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Maestrelli
65%

Jelle Sels
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesco Maestrelli's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesco Maestrelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelle Sels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Francesco Maestrelli - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 264. Sels is ranked ATP: 361.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Maestrelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Maestrelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Maestrelli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Benjamin Hassan - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Andrea Picchione	Picchione A. retired ✺
12.08.24	Francesco Maestrelli - Gianluca Mager	Canceled ✺
06.08.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LL??L
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
25.08.24	Jelle Sels - Valerio Aboian	Aboian V. walkover ✺
21.08.24	Arthur Gea - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Jelle Sels - Martin Krumich	2:1 ✺
29.07.24	Jelle Sels - Neil Oberleitner	0:2 ✺
28.07.24	Jelle Sels - Daniel Paty	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.02.22	Jelle Sels - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0

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