Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TENERIFE 2 (SPAIN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 1 February 2023, Wednesday


	Francesco Passaro		Lloyd Harris

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.05	1.35
	2.65	1.38
	3.67	1.29
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.5	1.27	Watch
	3.3	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.58)	1.32 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Passaro
29%

Lloyd Harris
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Passaro's form might have worsened.

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lloyd Harris's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lloyd Harris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Francesco Passaro - Lloyd Harris Predictions

Users Predictions: Lloyd Harris will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Harris could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Harris is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
30.01.23	Francesco Passaro - Yaroslav Demin	2:1 ✺
20.01.23	Mate Valkusz - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
18.01.23	Kaichi Uchida - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
17.01.23	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Francesco Passaro	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
10.01.23	Francesco Passaro - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- Lloyd Harris
ATP Challenger
30.01.23	Ivan Gakhov - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.23	Lloyd Harris - Marton Fucsovics	1:3 ✺
16.01.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Lloyd Harris	2:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.01.23	Arthur Cazaux - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
12.01.23	Jason Jung - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLW

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