Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sintra 2 (Portugal), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday


	Francisco Rocha		Diogo Marques

	1	2
	1.33	3
	1.32	3.05
	1.25	3.65
	1.32	3.08	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.34	3.04	Watch
	1.32	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.55)	3.12 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Rocha
70.3%

Diogo Marques
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francisco Rocha's performance.

Diogo Marques has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diogo Marques might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Rocha than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francisco Rocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diogo Marques than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diogo Marques could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francisco Rocha - Diogo Marques Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 706. Marques is ranked ATP: 933.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Marques could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rocha will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rocha won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Rocha
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Nicolas Kobelt - Francisco Rocha	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	Jacopo Berrettini - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.09.24	Eric Vanshelboim - Francisco Rocha	2:1 ✺
29.09.24	Francisco Rocha - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Daniel Rincon - Francisco Rocha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLWL
- Diogo Marques
ITF Tournaments
17.10.24	Diogo Marques - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Diogo Marques	N/A ✺
09.10.24	Daniel Batista - Diogo Marques	0:2 ✺
19.09.24	Jack Loge - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WL?WL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.07.24	Francisco Rocha - Diogo Marques	2:0

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