Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday


	Franco Roncadelli		Alvaro Guillen Meza

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	4.24	1.19	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.15	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.75)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
27.5%

Alvaro Guillen Meza
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Franco Roncadelli's form might have worsened.

Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvaro Guillen Meza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Franco Roncadelli - Alvaro Guillen Meza Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Roncadelli will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Guillen Meza will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 338. Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 202.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Guillen Meza could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roncadelli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Franco Roncadelli - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Maximo Zeitune - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
08.02.26	Blaise Bicknell - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Franco Roncadelli	2:1 ✺
26.01.26	Bautista De La Pena - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW
- Alvaro Guillen Meza
ATP Challenger
19.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - James Duckworth	Canceled ✺
07.02.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Jordan Thompson	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Marco Cecchinato - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LW??L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.05.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Franco Roncadelli	2:0
Davis Cup World Group I
01.02.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Franco Roncadelli	0:2
ITF Tournaments
08.02.24	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Franco Roncadelli	2:0
23.09.23	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Franco Roncadelli	2:0
07.04.23	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Franco Roncadelli	0:2

Franco Roncadelli - Alvaro Guillen Meza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide