Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday


	Franco Roncadelli		Hernan Casanova

	1	2
			Watch
	2.44	1.49	Watch
	2.24	1.64
	2.16	1.65	Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.59	Watch
	2.45	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.45)	1.57 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
40.5%

Hernan Casanova
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Hernan Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Franco Roncadelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hernan Casanova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Franco Roncadelli - Hernan Casanova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Roncadelli will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Casanova will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Roncadelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Roncadelli (3.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Roncadelli (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 371. Casanova is ranked ATP: 435.

Recent form of Roncadelli has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Casanova is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Casanova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Casanova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Casanova will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Roncadelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Franco Roncadelli - Thiago Cigarran	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
13.09.25	Bor Artnak - Franco Roncadelli	Canceled ✺
12.09.25	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.08.25	Alex Molcan - Franco Roncadelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WL?LL
- Hernan Casanova
ATP Challenger
21.09.25	Juan Estevez - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Hernan Casanova - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Hernan Casanova	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Hernan Casanova - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Hernan Casanova - Juan Sebastian Gomez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.02.24	Franco Roncadelli - Hernan Casanova	0:2

Franco Roncadelli - Hernan Casanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide