Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil (Ecuador), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday


	Franco Roncadelli		Mariano Kestelboim

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.58	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.85	1.87	Watch
	1.62	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.53)	2.17 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
57%

Mariano Kestelboim
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mariano Kestelboim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Franco Roncadelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Kestelboim than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Kestelboim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Franco Roncadelli - Mariano Kestelboim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 361. Kestelboim is ranked ATP: 543.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Kestelboim could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Roncadelli will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Roncadelli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Franco Roncadelli - Orlando Luz	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Franco Roncadelli - Michiel De Krom	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Kicker	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Kicker	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Franco Roncadelli - Juan Bautista Otegui	Roncadelli F. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLL?
- Mariano Kestelboim
ATP Challenger
28.10.24	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Mariano Kestelboim	0:2 ✺
27.10.24	Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Mariano Kestelboim	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Mariano Kestelboim - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Mariano Kestelboim - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen	Canceled ✺
29.09.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Mariano Kestelboim	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWL??

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
06.09.24	Mariano Kestelboim - Franco Roncadelli	2:1
22.02.24	Franco Roncadelli - Mariano Kestelboim	0:2
16.11.22	Franco Roncadelli - Mariano Kestelboim	Kestelboim M. retired

Franco Roncadelli - Mariano Kestelboim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide