Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordoba, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday


	Franco Roncadelli		Nicolas Kicker

	1	2
	1.81	1.9
	1.88	1.99
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.79	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	1.91 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Franco Roncadelli
51.2%

Nicolas Kicker
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Franco Roncadelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Nicolas Kicker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Roncadelli than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Franco Roncadelli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Kicker than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Kicker could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Kicker Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Roncadelli will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Kicker will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Roncadelli: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Roncadelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Roncadelli is ranked ATP: 274. Kicker is ranked ATP: 348.

Roncadelli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kicker has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kicker may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Roncadelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Franco Roncadelli - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Nicolas Kicker - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Franco Roncadelli
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Franco Roncadelli - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Franco Roncadelli - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Hernan Casanova - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Franco Roncadelli	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWWW
- Nicolas Kicker
ATP Challenger
13.05.26	Ryan Dickerson - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
12.05.26	Ignacio Monzon - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Hernan Casanova - Nicolas Kicker	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Nicolas Zanellato - Nicolas Kicker	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Nicolas Kicker - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.03.25	Nicolas Kicker - Franco Roncadelli	2:0
ATP Challenger
06.10.24	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Kicker	1:2
30.09.24	Franco Roncadelli - Nicolas Kicker	1:2

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