Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Todi 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Frederico Ferreira Silva		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	2.12	1.64	Watch
	2.11	1.75
	1.80	1.81	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.83)	1.75 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederico Ferreira Silva
46.9%

Alexey Vatutin
53.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frederico Ferreira Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Frederico Ferreira Silva - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ferreira Silva is ranked ATP: 258. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 336.

Recent performances by Ferreira Silva have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vatutin is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vatutin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferreira Silva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Frederico Ferreira Silva - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Alexey Vatutin - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
31.07.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Moez Echargui	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
21.07.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Eero Vasa	2:0 ✺
16.07.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL
- Alexey Vatutin
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Alexey Vatutin - Pawel Juszczak	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Alexey Vatutin - Aleksander Orlikowski	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Alexey Vatutin - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Kirill Kivattsev - Alexey Vatutin	1:2 ✺
09.07.25	Petr Nesterov - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
24.06.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Alexey Vatutin	Vatutin A. retired
09.10.18	Alexey Vatutin - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0

Frederico Ferreira Silva - Alexey Vatutin