Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H Kassel, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday


	Petr Nesterov		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.62
			Watch
	2.13	1.66
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.17)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Petr Nesterov
43.7%

Alexey Vatutin
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Nesterov is ranked ATP: 443. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 334.

Recent performances by Nesterov have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vatutin is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nesterov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vatutin could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Petr Nesterov
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Petr Nesterov - Michael Agwi	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Petr Nesterov - Dominik Recek	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.06.25	Petr Nesterov - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Raul Brancaccio - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Petr Nesterov - Remy Bertola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWL
- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
24.06.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Alexey Vatutin	Vatutin A. retired ✺
17.06.25	Christian Garin - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
10.06.25	Alexey Vatutin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
03.06.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Alexey Vatutin - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 ?LLLW

Petr Nesterov - Alexey Vatutin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide