Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ORLEANS (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday


	Frederico Ferreira Silva		Arthur Fery

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95	Watch
	2.03	1.74
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.09	1.68	Watch
	2.02	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.72)	1.78 ↓ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frederico Ferreira Silva
47.5%

Arthur Fery
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frederico Ferreira Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Frederico Ferreira Silva's form might have worsened.

Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Fery's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frederico Ferreira Silva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Frederico Ferreira Silva - Arthur Fery Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ferreira Silva will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Fery will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fery: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

Recent matches Ferreira Silva is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fery is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fery could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
24.09.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Arthur Gea	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.09.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Dali Blanch	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Francisco Oliveira	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.09.23	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Liam Broady	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Daniel Cox - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- Arthur Fery
ATP Challenger
24.09.23	Arthur Fery - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.23	Arthur Fery - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Remy Bertola - Arthur Fery	0:2 ✺
15.09.23	Arthur Fery - Alessandro Pecci	2:1 ✺
14.09.23	Arthur Fery - Carlo Alberto Fossati	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW

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