Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como (Italy), clay - Final

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday


	Gabriel Debru		Ignacio Buse

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	1.92	1.93	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.9	1.84	Watch
	1.88	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.58)	1.84 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Debru
49.3%

Ignacio Buse
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Debru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gabriel Debru's performance.

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ignacio Buse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Debru than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gabriel Debru that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ignacio Buse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Gabriel Debru - Ignacio Buse Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Debru will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Buse will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Debru: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Debru is ranked ATP: 381. Buse is ranked ATP: 270.

Recent matches Debru is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Buse is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Debru could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Buse will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Buse to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Debru
ATP Challenger
31.08.24	Gabriel Debru - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	Kei Nishikori - Gabriel Debru	Debru G. walkover ✺
29.08.24	Filip Cristian Jianu - Gabriel Debru	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Gabriel Debru - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
21.08.24	Gabriel Debru - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 W?WWL
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
31.08.24	Alex Molcan - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
30.08.24	Ignacio Buse - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
29.08.24	Filip Misolic - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Marco Cecchinato - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Laslo Djere - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

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