Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 5, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Gabriela Knutson		Ariana Geerlings Martinez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35
	1.57	2.35
	1.54	2.37	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.54	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.34)	2.36 ↓ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriela Knutson
60.6%

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriela Knutson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gabriela Knutson's form might have worsened.

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ariana Geerlings Martinez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriela Knutson than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gabriela Knutson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ariana Geerlings Martinez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gabriela Knutson - Ariana Geerlings Martinez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Geerlings Martinez (2.24) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Geerlings Martinez (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 Games - Geerlings Martinez (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ariana Geerlings Martinez will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Geerlings Martinez (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Knutson is ranked WTA: 197. Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 411.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Geerlings Martinez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Knutson is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriela Knutson
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Gabriela Knutson - Kristina Novak	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Gabriela Knutson - Gaia Maduzzi	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Gabriela Knutson - Sofia Costoulas	1:2 ✺
01.04.25	Gabriela Knutson - Petra Hule	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Jessika Ponchet - Gabriela Knutson	Knutson G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLW?
- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Enola Chiesa - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
30.04.25	Katerina Tsygourova - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
21.04.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Antonia Ruzic	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.04.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Renata Zarazua	0:2 ✺
10.04.25	Patricia Maria Tig - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL

Gabriela Knutson - Ariana Geerlings Martinez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide